Liga MX
Match Analysis
Toluca
Atlas
Toluca
W
D
W
L
W
D
Atlas
W
W
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | Atlas | 1 - 1 | March 15, 2026 |
| Atlas | Toluca | 0 - 0 | November 1, 2025 |
| Atlas | Toluca | 2 - 3 | April 13, 2025 |
| Toluca | Atlas | 4 - 1 | September 28, 2024 |
| Toluca | Atlas | 4 - 1 | April 7, 2024 |
| Atlas | Toluca | 0 - 0 | August 26, 2023 |
Toluca Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Club Queretaro | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Atlante FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Necaxa | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Guadalajara Chivas | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Atlante FC | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Atlas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Cruz Azul | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Tigres UANL | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Monterrey | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Santos Laguna | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Leon | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Puebla | 3 - 4 | Loss |
Liga MX Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.01% likelihood that both Toluca and Atlas will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Toluca to win
This prediction indicates that Toluca has a 67.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.89 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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