Segunda Liga
Match Analysis
Tondela
FC Porto B
Tondela
L
L
W
L
D
L
FC Porto B
L
L
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto B | Tondela | 2 - 2 | January 26, 2025 |
| Tondela | FC Porto B | 2 - 2 | August 19, 2024 |
| Tondela | FC Porto B | 0 - 0 | January 21, 2024 |
| FC Porto B | Tondela | 1 - 1 | August 13, 2023 |
| Tondela | FC Porto B | 0 - 1 | May 22, 2023 |
| FC Porto B | Tondela | 1 - 1 | January 15, 2023 |
Tondela Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Academica | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Leixoes | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Amarante | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Rio Ave | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | São João Ver | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Famalicao | 1 - 0 | Loss |
FC Porto B Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Farense | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Lusitânia Lourosa | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Lusitânia Lourosa | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Academica | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Benfica B | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Sporting CP B | 0 - 1 | Win |
Segunda Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tondela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Tondela to win
This prediction indicates that Tondela has a 52.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.25 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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