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Sept. 5, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Toronto II FC Cincinnati II
Toronto II D W L W L L
FC Cincinnati II L L L L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Toronto II FC Cincinnati II 3 - 1 July 17, 2026
FC Cincinnati II Toronto II 5 - 0 May 3, 2026
Toronto II FC Cincinnati II 1 - 0 August 15, 2025
FC Cincinnati II Toronto II 1 - 1 June 8, 2025
FC Cincinnati II Toronto II 0 - 1 March 9, 2025
FC Cincinnati II Toronto II 0 - 2 September 2, 2024

Toronto II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Home Chattanooga 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 10, 26 Away Chicago Fire 2 - 4 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Fort Lauderdale CF 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home FC Cincinnati II 3 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Connecticut FC 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Atlanta United II 1 - 0 Loss

FC Cincinnati II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 19, 26 Away New York City II 5 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Connecticut FC 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Bethlehem Steel 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away Chicago Fire 7 - 2 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home New England II 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Away Toronto II 3 - 1 Loss

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
22 Toronto II 22 8 4 10 37 42 -5 28
28 FC Cincinnati II 23 4 2 17 24 53 -29 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.97% likelihood that both Toronto II and FC Cincinnati II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Toronto II to win
This prediction indicates that Toronto II has a 58.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.91 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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