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Aug. 29, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Toronto II New York City II
Toronto II W L W L L L
New York City II W D L L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Toronto II New York City II 2 - 1 April 24, 2026
New York City II Toronto II 0 - 5 March 19, 2026
Toronto II New York City II 3 - 0 August 31, 2025
New York City II Toronto II 1 - 0 July 16, 2025
New York City II Toronto II 3 - 0 May 15, 2025
Toronto II New York City II 3 - 0 September 15, 2024

Toronto II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 10, 26 Away Chicago Fire 2 - 4 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Fort Lauderdale CF 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home FC Cincinnati II 3 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Connecticut FC 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Atlanta United II 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Home New England II 1 - 3 Loss

New York City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 11, 26 Home Orlando City II 3 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Bethlehem Steel 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away Atlanta United II 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 23, 26 Away New England II 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Crown Legacy 0 - 3 Win
Jun 26, 26 Away Connecticut FC 1 - 4 Win

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 New York City II 20 9 4 7 33 30 +3 31
22 Toronto II 21 8 3 10 35 40 -5 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.01% likelihood that both Toronto II and New York City II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Toronto II or New York City II to win
This prediction indicates that New York City II has a 40.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.93 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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