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National League - South

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Torquay Folkestone Invicta
Torquay D W D W W L
Folkestone Invicta D W W L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Torquay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Home Weston-super-Mare 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Tonbridge Angels 1 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Horsham 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Exeter City 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Cardiff City U21 5 - 0 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home Plymouth 0 - 1 Loss

Folkestone Invicta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Away Maidstone Utd 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Walton & Hersham 5 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Welling United 2 - 0 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Sutton Utd 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Sholing 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Charlton 2 - 0 Win

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Torquay 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
8 Folkestone Invicta 2 1 1 0 6 2 +4 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.12% likelihood that both Torquay and Folkestone Invicta will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Torquay to win
This prediction indicates that Torquay has a 44.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.19 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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