TPV vs SalPa Tuesday 11th August 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

TPV SalPa

TPV L W W W L D

SalPa L W W D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
SalPa	TPV	4 - 2	May 23, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	FC jazz	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	KuPS Akatemia	3 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	KPV-j	1 - 3	Win
Jul 5, 26	Home	JJK	1 - 0	Win
Jun 29, 26	Away	VJS	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	PKKU	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	PKKU	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Inter Turku II	1 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Tampere United	0 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	VJS	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Rops	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Home	KuPS Akatemia	4 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	SalPa	16	7	5	4	31	26	+5	26
9	TPV	16	4	4	8	19	29	-10	16

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.14% likelihood that both TPV and SalPa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

This prediction indicates that SalPa has a 41.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.00 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

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