Meistriliiga
Match Analysis
Trans Narva
Paide
Trans Narva
W
W
L
L
L
D
Paide
D
W
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trans Narva | Paide | 1 - 0 | May 20, 2026 |
| Paide | Trans Narva | 1 - 0 | March 15, 2026 |
| Trans Narva | Paide | 1 - 1 | February 7, 2026 |
| Trans Narva | Paide | 2 - 3 | September 27, 2025 |
| Paide | Trans Narva | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2025 |
| Paide | Trans Narva | 0 - 1 | May 31, 2025 |
Trans Narva Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Nõmme United | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Vaprus | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Laagri | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Tammeka | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 16, 26 | Away | Kuressaare | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Zira | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Zira | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Laagri | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Hegelmann Litauen | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | Hegelmann Litauen | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Vaprus | 3 - 1 | Win |
Meistriliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paide | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 32 |
| 9 | Trans Narva | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 13 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.32% likelihood that both Trans Narva and Paide will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Paide to win
This prediction indicates that Paide has a 62.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.69 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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