Treaty United vs Kerry Friday 03rd July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Treaty United Kerry

Treaty United D L D L L L

Kerry W W W L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kerry	Treaty United	1 - 1	April 17, 2026
Treaty United	Kerry	2 - 2	March 6, 2026
Kerry	Treaty United	2 - 4	January 13, 2026
Kerry	Treaty United	1 - 1	September 26, 2025
Treaty United	Kerry	1 - 1	August 4, 2025
Kerry	Treaty United	1 - 0	May 9, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Wexford	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Cork City	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	2 - 2	Draw
May 29, 26	Away	Longford Town	3 - 1	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Cork City	0 - 1	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Cobh Ramblers	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Longford Town	2 - 1	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	UCD	0 - 1	Win
Jun 12, 26	Home	Athlone Town	1 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	2 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	2 - 2	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Wexford	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Kerry	20	5	7	8	19	24	-5	22
10	Treaty United	20	3	7	10	19	33	-14	16

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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