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First Division

July 31, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Treaty United Longford Town
Treaty United W W D L D L
Longford Town W W L L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Longford Town Treaty United 3 - 1 May 29, 2026
Treaty United Longford Town 0 - 0 April 3, 2026
Treaty United Longford Town 1 - 2 October 5, 2025
Longford Town Treaty United 2 - 0 August 9, 2025
Treaty United Longford Town 5 - 1 May 23, 2025
Longford Town Treaty United 2 - 0 March 29, 2025

Treaty United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Finn Harps 0 - 1 Win
Jul 3, 26 Home Kerry 2 - 1 Win
Jun 26, 26 Away Wexford 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 19, 26 Away Cork City 4 - 0 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Home Bray Wanderers 2 - 2 Draw
May 29, 26 Away Longford Town 3 - 1 Loss

Longford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Cork City 3 - 4 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home UCD 2 - 1 Win
Jun 26, 26 Away Kerry 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 19, 26 Away Bray Wanderers 5 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Cobh Ramblers 2 - 1 Win
May 29, 26 Home Treaty United 3 - 1 Win

First Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Longford Town 22 7 7 8 23 27 -4 28
10 Treaty United 22 4 8 10 21 34 -13 20

Predictions

Treaty United to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Treaty United has a 35.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.32 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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