Serie C - Girone A
Match Analysis
Treviso
Desenzano Calvina
Treviso
W
L
Desenzano Calvina
L
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Treviso Form (Last 2 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Lecco | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Trento | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Desenzano Calvina Form (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Union Brescia | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Trento | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | PRO Vercelli | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 26, 23 | Away | Pergolettese | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Dec 14, 22 | Away | Cremonese | 7 - 0 | Loss |
Serie C - Girone A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Treviso | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Treviso to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Treviso has a 42.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.09 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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