Truro City vs Chesham United Saturday 05th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - South

Truro City

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Chesham United

Match Analysis

Truro City Chesham United

Truro City D W L W W L

Chesham United L L L L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chesham United	Truro City	1 - 4	March 1, 2025
Truro City	Chesham United	2 - 1	November 23, 2024

Truro City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Away	Chelmsford City	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Maidenhead	2 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Plymouth	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Exeter City	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Aldershot Town	0 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Carlisle	0 - 1	Loss

Chesham United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 19, 26	Away	Farnborough	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Away	Braintree	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Weston-super-Mare	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Away	Chertsey Town	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Basingstoke Town	2 - 6	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Dover	2 - 2	Draw

National League - South Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Truro City	2	1	1	0	2	0	+2	4
22	Chesham United	2	0	0	2	2	6	-4	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.66% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Truro City to win

This prediction indicates that Truro City has a 47.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.70 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - South

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Truro City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Chesham United Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League - South Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Truro City to win

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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