TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Saturday 08th August 2026 08:30 PM football predictions.

TSV Hartberg Sturm Graz

TSV Hartberg L W W W D L

Sturm Graz W W W W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
TSV Hartberg	Sturm Graz	2 - 4	May 10, 2026
Sturm Graz	TSV Hartberg	0 - 0	April 12, 2026
TSV Hartberg	Sturm Graz	0 - 1	November 30, 2025
Sturm Graz	TSV Hartberg	1 - 0	September 28, 2025
TSV Hartberg	Sturm Graz	1 - 2	November 9, 2024
Sturm Graz	TSV Hartberg	2 - 0	August 11, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Voitsberg	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	First Vienna	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Příbram	3 - 0	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Zbrojovka Brno	2 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Ujpest	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 1, 26	Away	Weiz	3 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Heart Of Midlothian	4 - 0	Win
Jul 15, 26	Home	Pogon Szczecin	1 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	5 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Kalsdorf	4 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	FK Košice	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Home	LNZ Cherkasy	2 - 6	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Sturm Graz	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	TSV Hartberg	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Sturm Graz has a 46.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.55 %

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