Virsliga
Match Analysis
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
L
L
L
D
D
W
BFC Daugavpils
D
L
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums | BFC Daugavpils | 1 - 1 | April 21, 2026 |
| Tukums | BFC Daugavpils | 0 - 1 | August 30, 2025 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Tukums | 1 - 2 | June 21, 2025 |
| Tukums | BFC Daugavpils | 0 - 0 | April 30, 2025 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Tukums | 3 - 0 | March 7, 2025 |
| Tukums | BFC Daugavpils | 0 - 0 | September 21, 2024 |
Tukums Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Away | FK Liepaja | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 25, 26 | Away | Rīgas FS | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Riga | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Grobiņa | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 11, 26 | Away | Super Nova | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 7, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 6 - 1 | Win |
BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | FS Jelgava | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 26, 26 | Home | Auda | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | FK Liepaja | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Rīgas FS | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Riga | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | Tukums | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 13 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.75% likelihood that both Tukums and BFC Daugavpils will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Score 2 - 2
This prediction indicates that Tukums will score 2 goals, and BFC Daugavpils will score 2 goals in the football match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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