Virsliga
Match Analysis
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
W
L
L
L
L
L
Grobiņa
W
L
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grobiņa | Tukums | 3 - 1 | July 5, 2026 |
| Grobiņa | Tukums | 3 - 3 | May 15, 2026 |
| Tukums | Grobiņa | 1 - 1 | April 5, 2026 |
| Grobiņa | Tukums | 1 - 0 | October 4, 2025 |
| Tukums | Grobiņa | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2025 |
| Grobiņa | Tukums | 2 - 0 | May 21, 2025 |
Tukums Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Auda | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | BFC Daugavpils | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | FK Liepaja | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Rīgas FS | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Grobiņa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | BFC Daugavpils | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | FK Liepaja | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Rīgas FS | 6 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Riga | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Super Nova | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grobiņa | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 24 |
| 9 | Tukums | 28 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.74% likelihood that both Tukums and Grobiņa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Tukums to win
This prediction indicates that Tukums has a 44.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.17 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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