U. Catolica vs D. La Serena Sunday 26th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

U. Catolica D. La Serena

U. Catolica W W W L W W

D. La Serena D L W L D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
D. La Serena	U. Catolica	2 - 2	February 1, 2026
D. La Serena	U. Catolica	0 - 1	November 8, 2025
U. Catolica	D. La Serena	1 - 3	May 25, 2025
D. La Serena	U. Catolica	0 - 2	March 23, 2023
D. La Serena	U. Catolica	0 - 4	September 10, 2022
U. Catolica	D. La Serena	0 - 2	April 10, 2022

U. Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Universidad de Concepcion	5 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Huachipato	0 - 3	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Boca Juniors	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Colo Colo	1 - 2	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Barcelona SC	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Deportes Limache	0 - 2	Win

D. La Serena Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Away	A. Italiano	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Colo Colo	2 - 4	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Deportes Limache	4 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Palestino	5 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Huachipato	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Concepción	3 - 3	Draw

Primera División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	U. Catolica	15	8	2	5	35	20	+15	26
11	D. La Serena	15	4	6	5	21	25	-4	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.74% likelihood that both U. Catolica and D. La Serena will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

U. Catolica to win

This prediction indicates that U. Catolica has a 68.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.33 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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