Primera División
Match Analysis
U. Catolica
Nublense
U. Catolica
W
L
D
W
W
W
Nublense
W
D
W
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | U. Catolica | 1 - 2 | March 1, 2026 |
| U. Catolica | Nublense | 1 - 0 | October 9, 2025 |
| Nublense | U. Catolica | 1 - 1 | March 8, 2025 |
| Nublense | U. Catolica | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2024 |
| U. Catolica | Nublense | 0 - 1 | February 23, 2024 |
| U. Catolica | Nublense | 2 - 1 | August 26, 2023 |
U. Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Cobresal | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Concepción | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | D. La Serena | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Universidad de Concepcion | 5 - 1 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Huachipato | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Boca Juniors | 0 - 1 | Win |
Nublense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Palestino | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Huachipato | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Cobresal | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Universidad de Concepcion | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Colo Colo | 6 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | O'Higgins | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | U. Catolica | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 26 | +12 | 27 |
| 5 | Nublense | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.3% likelihood that both U. Catolica and Nublense will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.U. Catolica to win
This prediction indicates that U. Catolica has a 61.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.15 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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