UCD vs Finn Harps Friday 28th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

First Division

Aug. 28, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

UCD Finn Harps

UCD W L D W L L

Finn Harps L L L L L W

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Finn Harps	UCD	0 - 5	June 12, 2026
UCD	Finn Harps	2 - 1	April 17, 2026
Finn Harps	UCD	2 - 1	February 20, 2026
Finn Harps	UCD	3 - 4	October 17, 2025
UCD	Finn Harps	3 - 1	July 11, 2025
Finn Harps	UCD	1 - 2	May 23, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 7, 26	Home	Wexford	4 - 1	Win
Aug 3, 26	Home	Treaty United	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Athlone Town	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Home	Cork City	5 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Bray Wanderers	6 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Longford Town	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 7, 26	Away	Bray Wanderers	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Away	Longford Town	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Cork City	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Away	Kerry	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Treaty United	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Wexford	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	UCD	26	12	4	10	42	31	+11	40
10	Finn Harps	26	5	7	14	21	48	-27	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that UCD has a 68.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.93 %

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