UCV Moquegua vs FBC Melgar Sunday 02nd August 2026 11:30 PM football predictions.

UCV Moquegua FBC Melgar

UCV Moquegua D L D L D L

FBC Melgar W D D W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FBC Melgar	UCV Moquegua	4 - 0	February 15, 2026
FBC Melgar	UCV Moquegua	2 - 0	January 17, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Comerciantes Unidos	2 - 2	Draw
May 29, 26	Away	Atletico Grau	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Universitario	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Cultural Santa Rosa	1 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	ADT	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Alianza Lima	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Cienciano	1 - 3	Win
Jun 18, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Alianza Atletico	3 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Juan Pablo II College	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Sport Huancayo	4 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	29	20	+9	28
15	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17	24	-7	18

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FBC Melgar has a 52.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.83 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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