Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Analysis
UD Ourense
Cacereño
UD Ourense
L
L
L
D
L
L
Cacereño
D
W
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
UD Ourense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | UD Logroñés | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Mirandes | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Ponferradina | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 29, 25 | Home | Pontevedra | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 25 | Home | Celta de Vigo II | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 24 | Home | Celta de Vigo II | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Cacereño Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruña II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Mirandes | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Unionistas de Salamanca | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Gévora | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Villanovense | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Real Jaén | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cacereño | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.62% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cacereño to win
This prediction indicates that Cacereño has a 43.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.19 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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