Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

UD Ourense UD Logroñés
UD Ourense L D L L L
UD Logroñés W L L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

UD Ourense Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Ponferradina 0 - 1 Loss
Oct 29, 25 Home Pontevedra 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 13, 25 Home Celta de Vigo II 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 14, 24 Home Celta de Vigo II 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 24, 22 Home Compostela 1 - 2 Loss

UD Logroñés Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Huesca II 4 - 0 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Mirandes 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home Zaragoza 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 4, 26 Away Huesca 0 - 1 Win
Oct 30, 25 Home Ponferradina 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 23, 25 Home Osasuna II 1 - 3 Loss

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 UD Logroñés 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 UD Ourense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
UD Ourense to win
This prediction indicates that UD Ourense has a 41.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.28 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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