Umeå FC vs Piteå Friday 12th June 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Umeå FC Piteå

Umeå FC D D L D W D

Piteå L D D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Piteå	Umeå FC	1 - 0	March 28, 2026
Umeå FC	Piteå	4 - 0	February 21, 2026
Umeå FC	Piteå	3 - 0	March 23, 2025
Umeå FC	Piteå	3 - 0	August 24, 2024
Piteå	Umeå FC	0 - 0	May 31, 2024
Piteå	Umeå FC	3 - 0	October 5, 2023

Umeå FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Sollentuna	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Stocksund	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	IF Karlstad	0 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	FBK Karlstad	1 - 1	Draw
May 14, 26	Away	Assyriska FF	1 - 5	Win
May 9, 26	Home	gefle IF	2 - 2	Draw

Piteå Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Enköping	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Stockholm Internazionale	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Sollentuna	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Stocksund	2 - 3	Win
May 14, 26	Home	FBK Karlstad	1 - 5	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Vasalund	1 - 2	Win

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Umeå FC	11	3	4	4	16	18	-2	13
15	Piteå	11	2	2	7	13	25	-12	8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.7% likelihood that both Umeå FC and Piteå will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Umeå FC to win

This prediction indicates that Umeå FC has a 49.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.06 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 79.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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