Union Brescia vs Desenzano Calvina Sunday 06th September 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone A

Sept. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Union Brescia Desenzano Calvina

Union Brescia W L D L D W

Desenzano Calvina L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 21, 26	Home	Athletic Carpi	3 - 1	Win
Aug 9, 26	Away	Arezzo	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Pro Palazzolo	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	Ascoli	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 3, 26	Home	Ascoli	1 - 1	Draw
May 27, 26	Home	Salernitana	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 26, 23	Away	Pergolettese	3 - 1	Loss
Dec 14, 22	Away	Cremonese	7 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union Brescia	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
3	Desenzano Calvina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 60.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Union Brescia has a 63.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.89 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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