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Sept. 2, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Universidad Catolica Aucas
Universidad Catolica D L W D W W
Aucas L W W L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Aucas Universidad Catolica 2 - 1 May 9, 2026
Universidad Catolica Aucas 6 - 2 August 3, 2025
Aucas Universidad Catolica 2 - 1 April 16, 2025
Universidad Catolica Aucas 0 - 0 March 7, 2025
Universidad Catolica Aucas 3 - 2 November 9, 2024
Aucas Universidad Catolica 2 - 2 May 19, 2024

Universidad Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Away Macara 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 10, 26 Away Libertad 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Tecnico Universitario 5 - 0 Win
Jul 27, 26 Away Guayaquil City FC 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Home Barcelona SC 2 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 2 Win

Aucas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 17, 26 Home LDU de Quito 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Leones del Norte 3 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Emelec 0 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Macara 1 - 4 Loss
Jul 23, 26 Away Orense SC 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Away Tecnico Universitario 0 - 1 Win

Liga Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Aucas 25 12 5 8 29 26 +3 41
4 Universidad Catolica 24 11 6 7 39 21 +18 39

Predictions

Universidad Catolica to win
This prediction indicates that Universidad Catolica has a 52.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.07 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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