Universidad de Concepcion vs D. La Serena Saturday 15th August 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Universidad de Concepcion D. La Serena

Universidad de Concepcion L D D W L L

D. La Serena D D L W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
D. La Serena	Universidad de Concepcion	1 - 1	February 22, 2026
Universidad de Concepcion	D. La Serena	0 - 1	August 19, 2024
D. La Serena	Universidad de Concepcion	1 - 0	April 6, 2024
Universidad de Concepcion	D. La Serena	2 - 0	August 11, 2023
D. La Serena	Universidad de Concepcion	1 - 0	March 27, 2023
Universidad de Concepcion	D. La Serena	0 - 2	December 21, 2020

Universidad de Concepcion Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	U. Catolica	5 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Union La Calera	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Nublense	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	O'Higgins	0 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Colo Colo	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Deportes Limache	3 - 0	Loss

D. La Serena Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	U. Catolica	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	A. Italiano	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Colo Colo	2 - 4	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Deportes Limache	4 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Palestino	5 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Huachipato	0 - 0	Draw

Primera División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	D. La Serena	16	4	7	5	24	28	-4	19
11	Universidad de Concepcion	15	5	4	6	13	26	-13	19

Predictions

Universidad de Concepcion to win

This prediction indicates that Universidad de Concepcion has a 44.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.83 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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