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Segunda Liga

Aug. 28, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

União de Leiria Tondela
União de Leiria L L W L D L
Tondela W L D L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
União de Leiria Tondela 0 - 2 May 16, 2025
Tondela União de Leiria 1 - 4 January 4, 2025
União de Leiria Tondela 2 - 1 August 2, 2024
Tondela União de Leiria 1 - 1 February 24, 2024
União de Leiria Tondela 2 - 2 October 1, 2023

União de Leiria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Vizela 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Away Las Palmas 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Home AD Marco 09 2 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Alverca 0 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Feirense 2 - 2 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Vizela 1 - 0 Loss

Tondela Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Amarante 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Rio Ave 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Home São João Ver 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Famalicao 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Beira-Mar 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Home Academica 2 - 1 Win

Segunda Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Tondela 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
15 União de Leiria 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
União de Leiria or Tondela to win
This prediction indicates that Tondela has a 40.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.84 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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