First League
Match Analysis
Ural
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Ural
W
D
W
W
D
W
Shinnik Yaroslavl
W
W
D
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ural | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0 - 1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Ural | 0 - 1 | July 19, 2025 |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Ural | 0 - 2 | November 10, 2024 |
| Ural | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2024 |
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Ural | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2020 |
Ural Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Tekstilshchik | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Rotor Volgograd | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | FC UFA | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Ska-khabarovsk | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Leningradets | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Enisey | 3 - 0 | Win |
Shinnik Yaroslavl Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Volga Ulyanovsk | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | FK Neftekhimik | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Arsenal Tula | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Nizhny Novgorod | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Torpedo Moskva | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Leningradets | 2 - 0 | Win |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ural | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 6 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Ural to win
This prediction indicates that Ural has a 47.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.95 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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