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First League
Arsenal Tula logo Arsenal Tula
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Ural logo Ural

Match Analysis

Arsenal Tula Ural
Arsenal Tula D W L L W D
Ural D W W D W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ural Arsenal Tula 2 - 0 March 15, 2026
Arsenal Tula Ural 1 - 2 October 24, 2025
Ural Arsenal Tula 0 - 0 March 24, 2025
Arsenal Tula Ural 1 - 0 September 16, 2024
Arsenal Tula Ural 1 - 2 May 21, 2022
Ural Arsenal Tula 2 - 0 September 27, 2021

Arsenal Tula Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Shinnik Yaroslavl 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Torpedo Moskva 1 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away PFC Sochi 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Home FK Neftekhimik 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 13, 26 Home Tekstilshchik 2 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away CSKA Moscow 1 - 1 Draw

Ural Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Rotor Volgograd 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home FC UFA 3 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Ska-khabarovsk 0 - 3 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Leningradets 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 19, 26 Home Enisey 3 - 0 Win
Jul 13, 26 Home Torpedo Moskva 0 - 1 Loss

First League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Ural 5 3 1 1 9 1 +8 10
10 Arsenal Tula 5 2 1 2 5 9 -4 7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ural to win
This prediction indicates that Ural has a 47.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.74 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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First League

Enisey vs KAMAZ 7 hours from now · noon › PFC Sochi vs Volga Ulyanovsk 13 hours from now · 6 p.m. › Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula 11 hours from now · 4 p.m. › Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva 8 hours from now · 1:30 p.m. › Ska-khabarovsk vs Veles 3 hours from now · 8 a.m. › Tekstilshchik vs Nizhny Novgorod 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›