USA vs Canada Wednesday 07th October 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Friendlies

Oct. 7, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

USA Canada

USA L W L W W L

Canada L W L W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
USA	Canada	1 - 2	September 7, 2024
USA	Canada	1 - 1	July 9, 2023
USA	Canada	1 - 0	July 18, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Home	Belgium	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Home	Bosnia & Herzegovina	2 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	Türkiye	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Home	Australia	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Paraguay	4 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	Germany	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Morocco	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	South Africa	0 - 1	Win
Jun 24, 26	Away	Switzerland	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Home	Qatar	6 - 0	Win
Jun 12, 26	Home	Bosnia & Herzegovina	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 5, 26	Home	Rep. Of Ireland	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction indicates that USA has a 42.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.55 %

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