USA vs Peru Saturday 26th September 2026 11:30 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

USA

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Peru

Match Analysis

USA Peru

USA L W L W W L

Peru L W D L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
USA	Peru	1 - 1	October 17, 2018

USA Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Home	Belgium	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Home	Bosnia & Herzegovina	2 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	Türkiye	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Home	Australia	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Paraguay	4 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	Germany	1 - 2	Loss

Peru Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Home	Spain	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Haiti	1 - 2	Win
Mar 31, 26	Home	Honduras	2 - 2	Draw
Mar 28, 26	Away	Senegal	2 - 0	Loss
Dec 21, 25	Home	Bolivia	2 - 0	Win
Nov 18, 25	Away	Chile	2 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.82% likelihood that both USA and Peru will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

USA to win

This prediction indicates that USA has a 45.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.82 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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