USA vs Senegal Sunday 31st May 2026 10:30 PM football predictions.

USA Senegal

USA L L W W W D

Senegal W W D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 31, 26	Home	Portugal	0 - 2	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Home	Belgium	2 - 5	Loss
Nov 19, 25	Home	Uruguay	5 - 1	Win
Nov 15, 25	Home	Paraguay	2 - 1	Win
Oct 15, 25	Home	Australia	2 - 1	Win
Oct 11, 25	Home	Ecuador	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 31, 26	Home	Gambia	3 - 1	Win
Mar 28, 26	Home	Peru	2 - 0	Win
Jan 18, 26	Home	Morocco	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 14, 26	Home	Egypt	1 - 0	Win
Jan 9, 26	Away	Mali	0 - 1	Win
Jan 3, 26	Home	Sudan	3 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
34	Senegal	2	2	0	0	5	1	+4	6
303	USA	2	0	0	2	2	7	-5	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.53% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Senegal has a 49.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.63 %

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