UTC vs UCV Moquegua Sunday 26th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

UTC UCV Moquegua

UTC D D L L L D

UCV Moquegua L D L D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
UCV Moquegua	UTC	2 - 3	February 6, 2026

UTC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Cultural Santa Rosa	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Sport Boys	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Deportivo Garcilaso	2 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	FC Cajamarca	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	FBC Melgar	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Cienciano	2 - 2	Draw

UCV Moquegua Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Away	Atletico Grau	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Universitario	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Cultural Santa Rosa	1 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	ADT	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Alianza Lima	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	FC Cajamarca	2 - 1	Win

Primera División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17	24	-7	18
14	UTC	16	4	5	7	19	24	-5	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

UTC to win

This prediction indicates that UTC has a 47.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.03 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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