Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Saturday 15th August 2026 07:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Utrecht AZ Alkmaar

Utrecht L W L L D W

AZ Alkmaar W W D L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Utrecht	AZ Alkmaar	2 - 0	March 1, 2026
AZ Alkmaar	Utrecht	4 - 1	October 26, 2025
Utrecht	AZ Alkmaar	0 - 0	January 18, 2025
AZ Alkmaar	Utrecht	1 - 2	September 29, 2024
AZ Alkmaar	Utrecht	3 - 3	May 19, 2024
Utrecht	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 1	December 3, 2023

Utrecht Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	Cambuur	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	V-varen Nagasaki	3 - 2	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	Apollon Limassol	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	De Graafschap	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Ajax	0 - 0	Draw
May 21, 26	Home	Heerenveen	3 - 2	Win

AZ Alkmaar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Olympiakos Piraeus	3 - 2	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	Genk	4 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Zulte Waregem	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Home	Anderlecht	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Almere City FC	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Gent	3 - 3	Draw

Eredivisie Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	AZ Alkmaar	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Utrecht	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.21% likelihood that both Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Utrecht or AZ Alkmaar to win

This prediction indicates that AZ Alkmaar has a 40.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.42 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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