Eredivisie
Match Analysis
Ajax
Willem II
Ajax
W
W
W
D
D
W
Willem II
D
L
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | Ajax | 1 - 2 | April 13, 2025 |
| Ajax | Willem II | 1 - 0 | October 27, 2024 |
| Willem II | Ajax | 0 - 1 | February 19, 2022 |
| Ajax | Willem II | 5 - 0 | December 2, 2021 |
| Ajax | Willem II | 3 - 1 | January 28, 2021 |
| Willem II | Ajax | 1 - 1 | December 23, 2020 |
Ajax Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Telstar | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | FC Sion | 5 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | FC Sion | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Heerenveen | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Shelbourne | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | PEC Zwolle | 0 - 2 | Win |
Willem II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Heerenveen | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | NEC Nijmegen | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | GO Ahead Eagles | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | OFI | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | KV Mechelen | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | FC Eindhoven | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Eredivisie Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 16 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.67% likelihood that both Ajax and Willem II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Ajax to win
This prediction indicates that Ajax has a 74.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.22 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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