Valenciennes vs Concarneau Saturday 29th August 2026 03:45 PM football predictions.

National 1

Valenciennes

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Concarneau

Match Analysis

Valenciennes Concarneau

Valenciennes W L D W D W

Concarneau D L W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Concarneau	Valenciennes	1 - 2	March 20, 2026
Valenciennes	Concarneau	1 - 2	October 17, 2025
Concarneau	Valenciennes	1 - 1	February 21, 2025
Valenciennes	Concarneau	3 - 3	September 20, 2024
Concarneau	Valenciennes	1 - 0	February 3, 2024
Valenciennes	Concarneau	0 - 1	September 26, 2023

Valenciennes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Home	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2 - 0	Win
Aug 7, 26	Away	Caen	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Boulogne	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Eastleigh	0 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Kortrijk	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Dunkerque	0 - 2	Win

Concarneau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Away	Quevilly	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 7, 26	Home	Orleans	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Pontivy GSI	5 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Laval	1 - 2	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Guingamp	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Stade Brestois 29	2 - 2	Draw

National 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Concarneau	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
18	Valenciennes	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0

Predictions

Valenciennes to win

This prediction indicates that Valenciennes has a 41.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.70 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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