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Meistriliiga

June 16, 2026 1 week, 6 days ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Vaprus Flora Tallinn
Vaprus D W W W W L
Flora Tallinn L W W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Flora Tallinn Vaprus 2 - 0 April 12, 2026
Vaprus Flora Tallinn 2 - 2 January 17, 2026
Vaprus Flora Tallinn 0 - 3 November 8, 2025
Flora Tallinn Vaprus 3 - 0 September 13, 2025
Vaprus Flora Tallinn 0 - 3 May 2, 2025
Flora Tallinn Vaprus 0 - 1 March 8, 2025

Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Tammeka 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Kalju Nomme 3 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 6 Win
May 16, 26 Away Laagri 1 - 2 Win
May 9, 26 Home Trans Narva 2 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Home Nõmme United 2 - 3 Loss

Flora Tallinn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 3 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Nõmme United 0 - 4 Win
May 16, 26 Away Trans Narva 0 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Away Kalju Nomme 0 - 1 Win
Apr 30, 26 Home Laagri 5 - 0 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Paide 1 - 2 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Flora Tallinn 14 9 0 5 30 15 +15 27
4 Vaprus 15 8 2 5 25 23 +2 26

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.92% likelihood that both Vaprus and Flora Tallinn will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Flora Tallinn to win
This prediction indicates that Flora Tallinn has a 50.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.13 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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