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Meistriliiga

June 26, 2026 3 days, 4 hours ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Vaprus Kuressaare
Vaprus L D W W W W
Kuressaare D L D W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kuressaare Vaprus 0 - 1 April 21, 2026
Vaprus Kuressaare 9 - 2 January 31, 2026
Vaprus Kuressaare 0 - 1 October 21, 2025
Kuressaare Vaprus 2 - 1 July 20, 2025
Vaprus Kuressaare 2 - 1 June 1, 2025
Kuressaare Vaprus 1 - 0 April 18, 2025

Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 16, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Tammeka 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Kalju Nomme 3 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 6 Win
May 16, 26 Away Laagri 1 - 2 Win
May 9, 26 Home Trans Narva 2 - 0 Win

Kuressaare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 16, 26 Home Trans Narva 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Laagri 2 - 3 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Paide 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 26 Home Nõmme United 2 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Kalju Nomme 0 - 2 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Tammeka 1 - 0 Loss

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Vaprus 16 8 2 6 26 25 +1 26
9 Kuressaare 16 3 2 11 15 28 -13 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.36% likelihood that both Vaprus and Kuressaare will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Vaprus to win
This prediction indicates that Vaprus has a 52.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.37 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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