Meistriliiga
Match Analysis
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
L
D
L
W
L
W
Nõmme United
L
L
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | Nõmme United | 2 - 3 | May 2, 2026 |
| Nõmme United | Vaprus | 7 - 1 | March 14, 2026 |
| Vaprus | Nõmme United | 7 - 0 | February 12, 2025 |
| Nõmme United | Vaprus | 0 - 2 | October 19, 2024 |
| Vaprus | Nõmme United | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2024 |
| Nõmme United | Vaprus | 2 - 1 | May 31, 2024 |
Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Trans Narva | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Tammeka | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Paide | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 1 - 0 | Win |
Nõmme United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Tammeka | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | FC Levadia Tallinn | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Trans Narva | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Kalju Nomme | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Meistriliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vaprus | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.22% likelihood that both Vaprus and Nõmme United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Vaprus to win
This prediction indicates that Vaprus has a 59.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.75 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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