Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol Sunday 26th July 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Vasco DA Gama Mirassol

Vasco DA Gama L W L L L W

Mirassol L L W W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mirassol	Vasco DA Gama	2 - 1	January 29, 2026
Vasco DA Gama	Mirassol	0 - 2	December 2, 2025
Mirassol	Vasco DA Gama	3 - 2	August 2, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Atletico-MG	0 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Barracas Central	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	0 - 3	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Olimpia	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Internacional	4 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Loss
May 26, 26	Away	Lanus	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Fluminense	1 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Always Ready	1 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Atletico-MG	3 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	Vasco DA Gama	17	5	5	7	22	28	-6	20
18	Mirassol	17	4	4	9	18	24	-6	16

This prediction indicates that Vasco DA Gama has a 38.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.00 %

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