DBU Pokalen
Match Analysis
Vatanspor
Nørresundby
Vatanspor
L
L
W
L
D
L
Nørresundby
L
D
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Vatanspor and Nørresundby have been struggling in recent matches, indicating that neither team is in strong form heading into the game. Vatanspor does have a slight edge in quality and will play with a rest advantage, which could help them perform better despite their recent issues. The model predicts a home win with a 47% probability and also suggests there's a 51% chance both teams will score, reflecting the defensive weaknesses on both sides. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's view stands on its own assessment of the teams' current form and Vatanspor's small quality and rest advantages.
Vatanspor Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 24 | Home | Aarhus Fremad | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 1, 22 | Home | Aarhus | 0 - 8 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 22 | Home | Lyseng | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 8, 20 | Home | Aarhus Fremad | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 19 | Away | Fuglebakken KFUM | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 18 | Away | Djursland | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Nørresundby Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 25 | Away | Farsø/Ullits | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Jan 28, 25 | Home | Thisted FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 24 | Home | Silkeborg KFUM | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Feb 27, 24 | Home | Thisted FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 23 | Home | Aarhus Fremad | 1 - 6 | Loss |
| Mar 4, 23 | Away | VSK Århus | 7 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Vatanspor to win
This prediction indicates that Vatanspor has a 46.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.70 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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