Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Tuesday 06th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

Oct. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Vila Nova Cuiaba

Vila Nova W D W L W D

Cuiaba D W L W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cuiaba	Vila Nova	1 - 0	June 14, 2026
Vila Nova	Cuiaba	2 - 2	September 24, 2025
Cuiaba	Vila Nova	1 - 0	May 27, 2025
Cuiaba	Vila Nova	1 - 2	November 30, 2019
Vila Nova	Cuiaba	0 - 0	August 27, 2019
Cuiaba	Vila Nova	1 - 1	August 3, 2015

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Home	America Mineiro	1 - 0	Win
Sep 15, 26	Away	Avai	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 10, 26	Home	Goias	2 - 0	Win
Sep 4, 26	Away	Athletic Club	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Ceara	2 - 0	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Operario-PR	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 26	Away	Novorizontino	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 8, 26	Home	Athletic Club	3 - 0	Win
Sep 4, 26	Away	Criciuma	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Botafogo SP	1 - 2	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Goias	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 19, 26	Home	Operario-PR	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova	29	15	6	8	41	31	+10	51
12	Cuiaba	28	9	13	6	27	22	+5	40

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vila Nova has a 38.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.71 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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