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Serie B logo

Serie B

June 21, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
4 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

Vila Nova Nautico Recife
Vila Nova L W W W W L
Nautico Recife D L L W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Nautico Recife Vila Nova 1 - 2 August 20, 2022
Vila Nova Nautico Recife 2 - 0 May 6, 2022
Vila Nova Nautico Recife 1 - 0 September 11, 2021
Nautico Recife Vila Nova 2 - 0 June 15, 2021
Nautico Recife Vila Nova 1 - 2 November 18, 2017
Vila Nova Nautico Recife 0 - 1 August 1, 2017

Vila Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away Cuiaba 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 8, 26 Home Botafogo SP 1 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Londrina 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away America Mineiro 1 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home Avai 2 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Goias 1 - 0 Loss

Nautico Recife Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away Novorizontino 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 9, 26 Home Fortaleza EC 0 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Sport Recife 2 - 0 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Cuiaba 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Operario-PR 2 - 6 Win
May 10, 26 Home America Mineiro 4 - 0 Win

Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Vila Nova 13 7 4 2 18 12 +6 25
7 Nautico Recife 13 6 2 5 18 14 +4 20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Vila Nova will score 0 goals, and Nautico Recife will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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