Vila Nova vs Nautico Recife Sunday 21st June 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

Vila Nova Nautico Recife

Vila Nova L W W W W L

Nautico Recife D L L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nautico Recife	Vila Nova	1 - 2	August 20, 2022
Vila Nova	Nautico Recife	2 - 0	May 6, 2022
Vila Nova	Nautico Recife	1 - 0	September 11, 2021
Nautico Recife	Vila Nova	2 - 0	June 15, 2021
Nautico Recife	Vila Nova	1 - 2	November 18, 2017
Vila Nova	Nautico Recife	0 - 1	August 1, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	Cuiaba	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 8, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Londrina	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	America Mineiro	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Avai	2 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Goias	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Away	Novorizontino	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 9, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	0 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Sport Recife	2 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Cuiaba	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Operario-PR	2 - 6	Win
May 10, 26	Home	America Mineiro	4 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Vila Nova	13	7	4	2	18	12	+6	25
7	Nautico Recife	13	6	2	5	18	14	+4	20

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vila Nova will score 0 goals, and Nautico Recife will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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