Serie B
Match Analysis
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
W
L
L
W
L
W
Sport Recife
D
D
D
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife | Vila Nova | 1 - 1 | April 1, 2026 |
| Vila Nova | Sport Recife | 2 - 0 | August 17, 2024 |
| Sport Recife | Vila Nova | 2 - 0 | April 26, 2024 |
| Vila Nova | Sport Recife | 0 - 1 | August 3, 2023 |
| Sport Recife | Vila Nova | 1 - 0 | June 18, 2023 |
| Vila Nova | Sport Recife | 0 - 0 | November 6, 2022 |
Vila Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Fortaleza EC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Criciuma | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Juventude | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | São Bernardo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Novorizontino | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Nautico Recife | 4 - 3 | Win |
Sport Recife Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Goias | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Operario-PR | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Botafogo SP | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Criciuma | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Fortaleza EC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 19, 26 | Home | Atletico Goianiense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vila Nova | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Vila Nova to win
This prediction indicates that Vila Nova has a 45.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.22 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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