Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Villa San Carlos
Dock Sud
Villa San Carlos
W
L
L
D
W
D
Dock Sud
D
W
D
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match between Villa San Carlos and Dock Sud shows a modest quality edge in favor of Dock Sud, although both teams are in moderate recent form and have similar rest ahead of the game. Despite Dock Sud's historical dominance in recent meetings—which have tended to feature plenty of goals—the model predicts a draw with a 36% probability. This draw probability aligns closely with the market odds, which also suggest a fairly even contest. The model also sees the game likely staying under 1.5 and 2.5 goals, and with both teams not scoring, although these outcomes are less confident compared to the market odds.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dock Sud | Villa San Carlos | 2 - 0 | March 23, 2026 |
| Villa San Carlos | Dock Sud | 2 - 2 | October 4, 2025 |
| Dock Sud | Villa San Carlos | 3 - 1 | May 20, 2025 |
| Dock Sud | Villa San Carlos | 2 - 1 | November 4, 2024 |
| Villa San Carlos | Dock Sud | 2 - 2 | June 15, 2024 |
| Villa San Carlos | Dock Sud | 3 - 2 | July 9, 2023 |
Villa San Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Deportivo Merlo | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Camioneros | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Sportivo Italiano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | San Martín Burzaco | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Ituzaingó | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Liniers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Dock Sud Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Liniers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Real Pilar | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | UAI Urquiza | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Villa Dalmine | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Excursionistas | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Arsenal Sarandi | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Dock Sud | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 27 | 25 | +2 | 32 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Villa San Carlos will score 0 goals, and Dock Sud will score 0 goals in the football match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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