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Serie C - Girone B

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Vis Pesaro Perugia
Vis Pesaro D L L L D L
Perugia D L D D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Vis Pesaro Perugia 0 - 1 March 29, 2026
Perugia Vis Pesaro 2 - 1 November 24, 2025
Perugia Vis Pesaro 0 - 1 February 7, 2025
Vis Pesaro Perugia 0 - 0 September 30, 2024
Vis Pesaro Perugia 1 - 0 April 14, 2024
Perugia Vis Pesaro 2 - 2 December 10, 2023

Vis Pesaro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Modena 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 5, 26 Away Cesena 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Benevento 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 23, 26 Away Venezia 8 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Juventus U23 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Sambenedettese 2 - 3 Loss

Perugia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Apr 26, 26 Away Forli 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Home Città di Campobasso 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 12, 26 Away Ternana 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 4, 26 Home Juventus U23 2 - 2 Draw
Mar 29, 26 Away Vis Pesaro 0 - 1 Win
Mar 20, 26 Home Torres 1 - 1 Draw

Serie C - Girone B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Perugia None None None None None None None None
None Vis Pesaro None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Vis Pesaro to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Vis Pesaro has a 41.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.24 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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