Vitoria vs Palmeiras Thursday 30th July 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

Vitoria Palmeiras

Vitoria W W L W W W

Palmeiras W W W L D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Palmeiras	Vitoria	5 - 1	February 5, 2026
Palmeiras	Vitoria	0 - 0	November 19, 2025
Vitoria	Palmeiras	2 - 2	August 3, 2025
Palmeiras	Vitoria	0 - 2	July 27, 2024
Vitoria	Palmeiras	0 - 1	April 14, 2024
Palmeiras	Vitoria	3 - 2	December 2, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	2 - 1	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Fortaleza EC	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Santos	3 - 1	Loss
May 28, 26	Away	ABC	3 - 4	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Internacional	2 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Home	ABC	6 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Junior	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Flamengo	0 - 3	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Cerro Porteno	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	remo	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	17	11	5	1	29	13	+16	38
12	Vitoria	17	6	4	7	21	25	-4	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.61% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Palmeiras has a 55.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.77 %

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