First League
Match Analysis
Volga Ulyanovsk
Arsenal Tula
Volga Ulyanovsk
L
W
L
W
L
L
Arsenal Tula
W
D
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula | Volga Ulyanovsk | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| Arsenal Tula | Volga Ulyanovsk | 0 - 1 | March 9, 2026 |
| Volga Ulyanovsk | Arsenal Tula | 2 - 1 | August 30, 2025 |
| Volga Ulyanovsk | Arsenal Tula | 0 - 0 | April 15, 2023 |
| Arsenal Tula | Volga Ulyanovsk | 2 - 0 | September 25, 2022 |
Volga Ulyanovsk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | PFC Sochi | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | KAMAZ | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Chelyabinsk | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | FK Neftekhimik | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Torpedo Moskva | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Enisey | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Arsenal Tula Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Rotor Volgograd | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Leningradets | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Torpedo Moskva | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | PFC Sochi | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | FK Neftekhimik | 0 - 1 | Loss |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arsenal Tula | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.19% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Volga Ulyanovsk to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Volga Ulyanovsk has a 40.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.00 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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