Volga Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets Saturday 26th September 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

First League

Volga Ulyanovsk

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Leningradets

Match Analysis

Volga Ulyanovsk Leningradets

Volga Ulyanovsk D W D L L W

Leningradets D L L D D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features Volga Ulyanovsk, who hold a modest quality edge over Leningradets. Volga Ulyanovsk come into the game with moderate recent form, while Leningradets have struggled, particularly defensively. The model predicts a home win with a 44% probability, reflecting the quality gap and recent form differences, although it also indicates some uncertainty due to limited head-to-head history. The model also sees a less than even chance of both teams scoring and predicts fewer than two goals in total.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Volga Ulyanovsk	Leningradets	2 - 2	January 21, 2026
Leningradets	Volga Ulyanovsk	1 - 1	January 21, 2025

Volga Ulyanovsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 9, 26	Away	Volgar Astrakhan	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	3 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Nizhny Novgorod	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	KAMAZ	1 - 2	Win

Leningradets Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 9, 26	Away	FK Sokol Saratov	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Ska-khabarovsk	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	KAMAZ	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	Chelyabinsk	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Away	Veles	2 - 1	Loss

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Volga Ulyanovsk	9	3	1	5	12	14	-2	10
15	Leningradets	8	1	3	4	4	10	-6	6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Volga Ulyanovsk to win

This prediction indicates that Volga Ulyanovsk has a 42.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.26 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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