Eerste Divisie logo

Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk logo Waalwijk
Sept. 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
MVV logo MVV

Match Analysis

Waalwijk MVV
Waalwijk D D D D W L
MVV W L W W W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
MVV Waalwijk 1 - 3 April 3, 2026
Waalwijk MVV 1 - 0 November 25, 2025
MVV Waalwijk 1 - 4 March 15, 2019
Waalwijk MVV 3 - 1 December 7, 2018
Waalwijk MVV 1 - 1 March 16, 2018
MVV Waalwijk 0 - 0 November 3, 2017

Waalwijk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home Jong PSV 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 21, 26 Away Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 14, 26 Home Dordrecht 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Away Vitesse 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Kifisia 3 - 0 Win
Jul 29, 26 Home Patro Eisden 1 - 2 Loss

MVV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away Jong AZ 1 - 2 Win
Aug 25, 26 Away KRC Genk II 6 - 0 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home FC Volendam 1 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away FC Eindhoven 2 - 3 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home Jong Utrecht 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Patro Eisden 1 - 1 Draw

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 MVV 4 4 0 0 8 4 +4 12
11 Waalwijk 4 0 4 0 6 6 0 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.3% likelihood that both Waalwijk and MVV will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Waalwijk to win
This prediction indicates that Waalwijk has a 50.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.20 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs FC OSS 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Emmen vs FC Volendam 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Waalwijk vs NAC Breda 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Heracles vs De Graafschap 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›