Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
W
D
D
W
L
W
Danubio
L
L
L
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wanderers | Danubio | 2 - 1 | March 21, 2026 |
| Wanderers | Danubio | 0 - 2 | September 6, 2025 |
| Danubio | Wanderers | 2 - 2 | March 16, 2025 |
| Wanderers | Danubio | 2 - 2 | September 28, 2024 |
| Danubio | Wanderers | 0 - 2 | March 24, 2024 |
| Wanderers | Danubio | 0 - 1 | March 7, 2024 |
Wanderers Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | Juventud | 2 - 5 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Albion FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Liverpool Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Juventud | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Penarol | 1 - 0 | Win |
Danubio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Progreso | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 18, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maldonado | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Albion FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Club Nacional | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wanderers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
| 14 | Danubio | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Wanderers to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Wanderers has a 37.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.24 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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