Ware vs Fakenham Town Saturday 05th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 5, 2026 6 days, 10 hours from now VS

Ware Fakenham Town

Ware L L D D W L

Fakenham Town L D L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Hendon	2 - 4	Loss
Jul 7, 26	Home	Berkhamsted	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 20, 25	Away	Ilford	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 16, 25	Home	Ilford	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 2, 25	Home	Welwyn	5 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 25	Home	Royston Town	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 5, 25	Away	Wroxham	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 25	Home	Wroxham	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 3, 24	Away	Cornard United	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 2, 23	Away	AFC Hornchurch	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 19, 23	Home	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	1 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 23	Home	St Neots Town	2 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Ware has a 41.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.72 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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